BACKGROUND The correlation between geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) and the prognosis of patients with osteoporosis or osteopenia has not been studied. This study aims to explore the relationship between GNRI and the cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality rates in elderly patients with osteoporosis or osteopenia.
METHODS This study included 4756 patients with osteoporosis and osteopenia from five cycles of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). We used multivariable Cox regression and subgroup analyses to investigate the correlation between GNRI and mortality rates. The restricted cubic spline analysis was used to assess the dose-response relationship between GNRI and mortality risk. Mediation analysis was conducted to examine the mediating effect of chronic kidney disease on the relationship between nutritional risk and mortality.
RESULTS During a median follow-up period of 114 months, a total of 1241 deaths (26.09%) occurred, including 300 deaths due to CVD (6.31%). In the fully adjusted Model 3, compared to the no-risk group, the risk group showed significantly increased all-cause mortality risk (HR = 2.05, 95% CI: 1.74–2.40) and CVD mortality risk (HR = 1.88, 95% CI: 1.30–2.71). The restricted cubic spline analysis indicated a non-linear association between GNRI and all-cause mortality risk as well as CVD mortality risk. The mediation analysis results indicated that chronic kidney disease mediates 16.9% of the effect of nutritional risk on all-cause mortality and 25.3% on CVD mortality risk.
CONCLUSIONS GNRI can serve as a predictive factor for all-cause and CVD mortality rates in elderly patients with osteoporosis or osteopenia.
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